Economic Forum Unveils Revenue Forecast for Nevada

By Aaron Drawhorn, Reporter  - Channel 8 News Now
By Kash Cashell, Photojournalist  - Channel 8 News Now

 

LAS VEGAS — Some of the state’s brightest minds on the economy have made their prediction about Nevada’s fiscal future.

When the Great Recession hit, the private sector suffered and so did state government. The Economic Forum met Wednesday. It’s job is to provide lawmakers with a forecast of the state’s General Fund revenues, so lawmakers can determine a state budget. The number crunching has been done, and the experts are weighing in.

Lawmakers were told they will be working with roughly $5.8 billion in tax revenue over the next biennium as the state makes its way toward economic recovery.

“The governor and the legislature, per the law, have to live by that forecast. It takes the politics out of everything,” said John Restrepo, principal of RCG Economics. READ FULL ARTICLE.

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State budget, Democrats’ tax strategy hang in balance as Economic Forum meets

April 30, 2013 – Written by Ray Hagar – Reno Gazette-Journal

The Economic Forum is the most important state-government committee that no one seems to know about.

It meets Wednesday in Carson City – with all spending plans and tax strategies at the Nevada Legislature hanging in the balance.

The Forum, a five member panel of state economic experts, will give its projections on how much tax money will be available in the general fund budget for the next biennium.

All spending is based on it because, by law, Nevada must have a balanced budget. So that makes projections close to the gospel.

“This is a conservative group and they want to make sure that we don’t overextend,” said Sen. Joe Hardy, R-Boulder City.

This year, nobody has their hopes up at the Legislature.

Gov. Sandoval has projected a $6.5 billion budget and many lawmakers and state officials predict the Forum projections would at least cover that, maybe even more. Various predictions of new money ranged from less than $100 million to almost $300 million. READ THE FULL ARTICLE.

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New Genting Megaresort Expected to be Big Boost for The Strip

By Richard N. Velotta (contact)

In the go-go 1990s, when it seemed like announcements about new casino megaresorts were annual occurrences, the prevailing wisdom was “the more the merrier” and “a rising tide raises all boats.”

But that philosophy came into question in the late 2000s as Las Vegas and the rest of the country weathered the worst economic downturn in recent history. Local tourism numbers fell, hotel rooms sat empty, resort profits plummeted and proposed projects were abandoned. (READ FULL ARTICLE)

 

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Local Industrial Market Continues Lateral Pattern

By Hubble Smith – Las Vegas Business Press

The industrial real estate recession continues to move sideways in Las Vegas, with 16.2 percent vacancy in the fourth quarter, John Restrepo of RCG Economics said.
It will take at least three years before the industrial market returns to a stabilized vacancy rate of 10 percent, based on quarterly absorption over the last 10 years, he said.
The market recorded 64,000 square feet of positive absorption during the fourth quarter, or more space taken than vacated. For the year, net absorption was 85,000 square feet. READ FULL ARTICLE.

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Las Vegas sees $120 million in commercial loans go into default

By Hubble Smith  – LAS VEGAS REVIEW-JOURNAL

Las Vegas saw more than $120 million in commercial loans go into default in November, including the Rainbow Promenade shopping center at 2051 N. Rainbow Blvd., according to a report from Nevada Title Co. JP Morgan is the original beneficiary of the $37.9 million loan.

Borrowers are struggling to pay off debt on properties with depressed values and high vacancy.  READ THE ARTICLE.

 

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Banks press for changes to 2011 foreclosure law

By DAVID McGRATH SCHWARTZ Las Vegas Sun

Foreclosures in Nevada could spike next year if lawmakers and banks roll back a bill passed in 2011 that played a large role in stymieing banks’ attempts to retake homes from Nevadans, according to the state’s banking association president and housing analysts.  READ THE ARTICLE.

 

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Analysts See Potential Dark Cloud for Las Vegas Economy in 2013

By Steve Green - VegasInc

The already-struggling Las Vegas economy could face more problems if the United States slips into a recession next year, local analysts say.

On Wednesday, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office warned that a “fiscal cliff” threatens to cause a recession that would push the U.S. unemployment rate up from 8.3 percent to 9 percent. The fiscal cliff is a combination of circumstances set to begin in January unless Congress and the president break an impasse over the federal budget. They include spending cuts and tax increases that together would reduce the federal deficit by about $500 billion next year. READ FULL ARTICLE.

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PRESS RELEASES: Q2, 2012 OFFICE, RETAIL AND INDUSTRIAL MARKETS

2012 Q2 _LV Ind RCG Release

2012 Q2 _LV Ofc RCG Release

2012 Q2 _LV Ret RCG Release

 

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The Logistics of Economic Recovery

The Distribution Industry in Nevada

by Jessica Santina - Nevada Business

That big-box warehouse down the street may not be the prettiest feature of the Nevada landscape surrounding you, but next time you’re driving past it, consider this: It, and other facilities like it, might just save the state’s struggling economy. Nevada is poised to become a major distribution center in the West.  READ THE ARTICLE.

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North Las Vegas Had No Choice

By John Restrepo -  Special to the Las Vegas Review-Journal

I have watched the North Las Vegas economy deteriorate over the past five years to a point that now warrants emergency action, and I have also reviewed firsthand the cities finances as a volunteer member of its 2010 Strategic Budget Priorities Process Committe. The fact is this recession has inalterably changed the economic and fiscal landscape of our state, and North Las Vegas is the first – but won’t be the last – local government to confront this new reality.   READ FULL ARTICLE.

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